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Three Stock Picks to Watch: CubeSmart, Firefly Aerospace, and Intel

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The Inflation Problem Looming Over Markets

Before diving into individual stock opportunities, it is essential to address the macroeconomic elephant in the room: inflation. Several converging forces are pushing prices higher — persistent wage increases, housing costs (which account for roughly half of the CPI), tariffs, deportation-related labor disruptions, and geopolitical conflict disrupting the petrochemical industry. That last factor is particularly insidious, as it drives up the cost of gas, diesel, jet fuel, and even helium — a critical input for semiconductor manufacturing.

Inflation could realistically climb to around 4%, potentially as high as 4.2% according to some analyst estimates. This creates a serious policy dilemma: rather than cutting interest rates, the Federal Reserve may be forced to raise them if these pressures persist. Wages, meanwhile, are not keeping pace with rising prices. The cascading effects are everywhere — fuel costs raise the price of transporting building materials to construction sites and goods to supermarkets, creating broad-based inflationary pressure across the economy.

Despite this challenging backdrop, there is still money to be made for investors willing to be bold and selective. Three stocks in particular stand out as compelling opportunities across very different sectors.

CubeSmart: The Quiet Strength of Storage REITs

CubeSmart (CUBE) operates in the self-storage real estate investment trust (REIT) space, and its business model is remarkably resilient. Storage tenants tend to be sticky — once people place their belongings in a unit, they rarely move them out quickly. This gives the company a reliable revenue base, with annual rent increases typically running between 7% and 9%. That translates into potential annual returns of 7% to 10% for investors.

What makes CubeSmart particularly interesting is its relative obscurity compared to better-known competitors like Public Storage. This valuation gap represents opportunity. In the current market, the stock appears oversold, and while near-term resistance and consolidation are likely — especially given broader market volatility — the downside is more limited than what you would see in a high-flying technology name. A reasonable target is 10% to 12% upside over an 18-month period, though the duration of any geopolitical conflict could influence that timeline.

From a technical standpoint, CubeSmart has established solid support near the $36 level and recently rallied toward the $39–$40 range. The 5-day, 21-day, and 63-day moving averages are all converging near $38, creating a meaningful confluence zone. The 251-day exponential moving average sits near $39.60. The RSI is trending upward and approaching a key trend line, with the 50 midline serving as an important threshold to watch. Volume profile analysis shows the point of control just below $40, suggesting that area could act as a speed bump on any further rally, with lighter trading activity between $40 and $42 potentially allowing faster movement through that zone.

Firefly Aerospace: Riding the Space Exploration Wave

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) represents an opportunity in the rapidly expanding commercial space sector. With renewed interest in space exploration — driven in part by programs like Artemis 2 and the broader excitement around potential SpaceX IPO activity — companies with lunar launch and orbital vehicle capabilities are attracting serious attention.

The stock has surged roughly 64% in just the past month, reflecting the market's growing enthusiasm for the space sector. Despite this run, there remains an estimated 12% upside over the next 18 months — a projection that may prove conservative. Compared to its peers, Firefly offers solid inherent value and qualities that make it a worthy long-term portfolio holding. While a sector-wide correction or consolidation is always possible, current conditions do not strongly suggest one is imminent. The approach should be gradual accumulation rather than an aggressive all-in position.

Technically, Firefly trades within an upward-sloping channel, though with less than a full year of trading history, the analysis relies more heavily on simple moving averages. The 20-day simple moving average sits around $29, well below current price action, highlighting how extended the recent rally has been. The RSI is overbought above the 70 threshold, and a previously established trend line appears to have been broken. A simultaneous crossover below 70 on the RSI and below the trend line would signal a more bearish short-term shift — but for bulls, that pullback would represent a buying opportunity. Volume profile analysis identifies a relatively thin node between $37 and $41 where the stock currently trades, with more substantial activity around $30 and a point of control near $24. To the upside, notable trading activity clusters around $45 to $46.

Intel: The Comeback Story in Semiconductors

Intel (INTC) is perhaps the most compelling narrative of the three — a former industry titan that is becoming relevant again. After years of being overshadowed by competitors, Intel is seeing renewed institutional interest and significant U.S. government investment. The stock is up an impressive 75% year to date, and there is still an estimated 11% to 12% upside over the next 18 months, a projection that again may prove conservative.

The key investment thesis for Intel is its role as a complement to the dominant players in the AI semiconductor space. While names like Nvidia and Taiwan Semiconductor dominate headlines, Intel belongs in a high-quality portfolio alongside them — not necessarily at a heavy allocation like 20%, but as a meaningful position that captures the company's resurgence. There are no major fundamental obstacles in the near term that would prevent continued upward momentum.

The technical picture supports the bullish case while flagging important levels to monitor. A gap on the downside aligns with an old high point near $54.60, with the gap beginning around $53.27. The stock is following a steep upward trend line and has long since broken out of a previous rangebound channel. The 5-day EMA near $60 serves as a short-term breakdown level to watch. The RSI is overbought, similar to Firefly, and has pushed beyond its trend line — a break back below that line, coinciding with a move out of overbought territory, would be a cautionary signal. The volume profile reveals that most recent trading activity is concentrated in the $44 to $49 range, with relatively little established volume at current elevated prices. A pullback to that zone would be particularly significant, as it represents where many existing positions were likely established.

Conclusion

The current market environment is defined by a tension between persistent inflationary pressures and genuine opportunities in select sectors. CubeSmart offers defensive, income-oriented exposure through the resilient self-storage model. Firefly Aerospace provides a way to participate in the accelerating commercial space sector. And Intel represents a compelling turnaround story in semiconductors, backed by government investment and renewed institutional confidence. All three share a common thread: they offer reasonable upside with identifiable risk levels, and they reward investors who are willing to think beyond the crowded AI trade. In a market where inflation may force the Fed's hand on rates, selectivity and conviction are more important than ever.

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