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Beyond the Mag 7: Finding AI's Secondary Beneficiaries in Mid-Cap Markets

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The Dominant Narrative

Artificial intelligence has become, without a doubt, the dominant narrative driving today's markets. The strong earnings results posted by large technology companies, fueled in large part by AI investment, have been the primary engine behind major indices setting new highs. Without this powerful tailwind, it is hard to imagine the S&P, Nasdaq, and even the semiconductor index reaching the records they have continued to hit, even with the occasional pullback or three-day decline.

Yet beneath this surface lies a more nuanced reality. While many investors are content to focus exclusively on the Magnificent Seven and anything explicitly labeled "AI," effectively ignoring the other 493 names in the S&P 500, there is a compelling case for looking elsewhere. The breadth of opportunity in the market extends well beyond the headline names, and a disciplined, fundamentals-driven approach can uncover businesses positioned to benefit from the same secular trends without paying mega-cap valuations.

The Space Economy as an Emerging Niche

One of the most interesting emerging niches is the space economy. This is an area that combines new communications technologies with novel defense capabilities, both of which are increasingly important in the current geopolitical environment. A representative name here is AST SpaceMobile, a company enabling satellite-to-phone communications and defense applications. The stock has been on a strong run, climbing roughly 13.5% month-to-date, reflecting both the enthusiasm around the sector and the substantive news flow tied to its development.

The space economy represents one of those areas where technological innovation and national security concerns intersect, creating a multi-dimensional investment thesis that does not depend purely on consumer spending or short-term economic cycles.

Software That Thrives Despite AI Disruption Fears

Another approach involves identifying software companies that have been unfairly punished by broader fears of AI disruption. Altus Group, a software provider to the commercial real estate industry, is a strong example. When the software sector sold off on disruption fears, this presented an opportunity to roughly double the position. Altus is well insulated from AI threats because it serves as a core operating platform for its industry, possesses proprietary data, and is deeply embedded in the workflow of the entire commercial real estate sector. Such embedded, mission-critical software is not easily displaced by generative AI tools, and its data moat actually becomes more valuable in an AI-driven world.

Picks-and-Shovels Plays on AI CapEx

Beyond software, there are mid-cap businesses that are direct beneficiaries of the explosive growth in capital expenditures supporting AI infrastructure. Applied Materials is one such name. Although it does not sit among the Mag 7, it is unquestionably riding the same wave, supplying critical equipment for the semiconductor manufacturing process that underpins every AI chip and data center buildout. This is the classic picks-and-shovels approach: rather than betting on which AI model or hyperscaler will win, invest in the companies that supply all of them.

Amdocs occupies a similar position in providing essential software and services to telecommunications carriers, capturing value from the digital infrastructure side of the economy.

Telecom in Underserved Markets

Shenandoah Telecom offers yet another angle. As a rural cable provider that also delivers fiber connections for home internet, it serves rural markets in western Virginia and eastern West Virginia. Its unique geographical footprint creates a strong franchise with limited competition. In an era when broadband connectivity is essential infrastructure and when rural markets often lack the multiple-provider competition of urban areas, such a footprint can be a durable moat.

Sentiment, Macro Narratives, and the Discipline to Ignore Them

A great deal of current market action is driven by sentiment, thematic trading, and macro narratives rather than pure fundamentals. The Home Depot CEO recently described his customers as "very resilient," noting that some of the healthiest consumers shop at his stores. This is somewhat surprising given that buyers face mortgage rates around 6.68% and fuel prices significantly higher than a year ago, when gas was running closer to thirty cents lower per gallon.

Inflation remains a challenge for everyone, but especially for households in the bottom half of the income spectrum. A prudent investment approach therefore tries to avoid betting on the consumer directly. Instead, the focus turns to secondary and tertiary beneficiaries of the AI capital expenditure boom—businesses whose fortunes are tied to structural technology trends rather than the discretionary spending capacity of stretched households.

A bottom-up, fundamental approach to stock selection means largely ignoring macro narratives when making investment decisions. This discipline is essential because narratives shift quickly, and chasing them often leads to buying high and selling low.

US Resilience Versus Global Peers

The United States enjoys a structurally stronger position than many of its global peers, largely because of energy independence. This does not mean complete insulation from international markets—certain products, including lubricants, are running in short supply and must still be sourced abroad. But the US holds a much stronger hand than economies that depend more heavily on energy imports. The ongoing Middle East conflict, for example, has had a significantly greater impact on energy-importing economies in Asia and Europe than it has on the domestic economy. This resilience is one reason why US markets have continued setting records even amid global turbulence.

Preparing for Volatility, Embracing Opportunity

Despite all the strength in markets, near-term volatility remains a constant feature. The VIX has ticked higher recently, and three-day declines remind investors that records are not made in straight lines. The most important advice for anyone investing in public markets is timeless: prepare yourself for the eventual 10%, 20%, or even 50% drawdown. Such drawdowns are not anomalies—they are part of the deal.

For the long-term investor, however, these drawdowns are not merely painful events to endure. They are opportunities to make opportunistic purchases at attractive prices. It is a double-edged sword, certainly uncomfortable in the short term, but it is precisely during such episodes that the disciplined investor can compound wealth most effectively.

Conclusion

The current investment landscape is defined by an AI-driven bull market that has lifted the largest technology companies to extraordinary heights. But the opportunity set extends far beyond the Mag 7. By identifying mid-cap businesses tied to AI capital expenditure, software platforms with defensible moats, emerging niches like the space economy, and resilient telecom franchises in underserved geographies, investors can participate in the dominant trend without crowding into the same narrow set of names. Combined with the structural advantages of US energy independence and the discipline to ignore short-term narratives in favor of long-term fundamentals, this approach offers a path through both the records and the inevitable drawdowns ahead.

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