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Wednesday's Market Movers: Packaged Food, Beverage Alcohol, and Enterprise Software

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General Mills: A Breakfast-Table Comeback

General Mills delivered a stronger-than-expected quarter on both the top and bottom lines, and the market responded emphatically, with shares rallying roughly 6% to 9% off the results. The core driver behind the beat is a shift in consumer behavior: as inflation continues to bite into household wallets, more consumers are eating meals at home rather than dining out, which directly benefits a packaged-food company known for breakfast cereals and similar goods.

For the most recent quarter, General Mills reported adjusted earnings per share of 95 cents, comfortably above the 80 cents that analysts on the street had been expecting. The company also beat on revenue, which came in at $4.61 billion — described as a slight beat. On a GAAP basis, however, the company posted a quarterly loss. That loss was attributed largely to increased promotional spending and discounting. Management indicated it plans to decelerate that promotional activity going forward.

The broader read on the numbers is that demand for packaged goods appears to be stabilizing after a difficult year for the industry. This is not explosive growth, but it is a healthy sign of returning consumer demand, supported by higher living costs that keep households cooking at home. The rally helps reduce what had been a laggard year-to-date performance; the stock still trails the S&P 500 but showed strong momentum on the day. Notably, the stock is climbing off its 52-week low of $31.75, a level touched not long ago, and it remains down about 28% over the trailing one-year period. The takeaway: the "breakfast table is back" based on these numbers, with consumers again choosing to eat at home amid persistent inflation.

Constellation Brands: Beer Carries a Better-Than-Feared Quarter

Constellation Brands presented a more mixed and fluctuating picture as investors worked to make sense of its latest numbers. The stock rose about 1% amid the volatility. Overall, results came in better than expected — critically, this was a "better than feared" quarter, since investors had been bracing for another weak showing given ongoing softness across the industry.

Adjusted earnings per share came in at $3.43. Revenue declined a little more than 3% to $2.43 billion, but that still topped expectations. Importantly, the company reaffirmed its full-year fiscal 2027 guidance, signaling management confidence despite a challenging consumer backdrop.

The story within the numbers is sharply divided between the company's two main segments. Beer remains the crown jewel of the business, with beer sales rising 2% year-over-year — a slight acceleration over the previous quarter. Wine and spirits, by contrast, remain a persistent weak point, falling 47%. That stark contrast — minus 47% on wine and spirits against the positive beer trend — really tells the story of the quarter. Premium beer brands including Modelo and Pacifico performed well and continued to offset softer demand elsewhere.

Several external and demographic factors shape the beer narrative. The FIFA World Cup has served as a major catalyst for beer sales, a point management itself flagged, and the CEO was quoted on it in the Wall Street Journal. Consumer behavior among Hispanic consumers is being closely watched, since roughly half of Constellation's business comes from that group. The Corona brand had pulled back somewhat amid affordability concerns — consumers reported worries about high gasoline prices, and beer may sit at a better price point — but management says those trends are starting to improve. The overall growth story for the beer business is best characterized as slow and steady, with beer remaining the critical piece of the company's growth.

ServiceNow and Salesforce: Guggenheim Says the "SaaS Apocalypse" Went Too Far

The enterprise software space saw a positive catalyst from an analyst upgrade. Guggenheim turned bullish on both ServiceNow and Salesforce, upgrading each to a buy from neutral. The market responded favorably, with ServiceNow shares rallying about 4% and Salesforce also moving higher.

The thesis is fundamentally a valuation story rather than an AI growth story. Both stocks have been badly beaten up on fears that artificial intelligence will disrupt traditional software companies. Guggenheim's argument is that these names have been punished too much over those fears, and that investors are now able to buy what the firm views as high-quality software businesses at more attractive valuations. On ServiceNow, the view is that AI is a genuine risk but "not the end of the story," and that management may rely on acquisitions to sustain growth — with investors having become far too pessimistic. The stock reflects that pessimism, having fallen more than 40% year-over-year and more than 30% so far this year. On Salesforce, the firm's blunt framing is that "the SaaS apocalypse has gone too far," implying the market has overreacted to fears of AI displacing software-as-a-service businesses.

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