Economy News
Markets, macro and movers — curated.
Nvidia's Valuation Puzzle: Bull and Bear Option Trades on NVDA
Nvidia's cheap forward PE against 70% guided revenue growth, plus bull and bear NVDA option trades for the AI valuation debate.
Why $105 Is the Line That Decides Where Crude Oil Goes Next
Crude nears $100 as war risk premium builds, but $105 resistance, demand destruction, and a supply glut point toward a lower path.
The Big Three AI Trades: Micron (MU), Oracle (ORCL), and Apple (AAPL)
A technical and thematic breakdown of three AI-linked stocks - Micron (MU), Oracle (ORCL), and Apple (AAPL) - with chart levels and trade views.
Oracle Tops Earnings and Lifts Guidance on AI Cloud Growth, But Stock Stalls
Oracle (ORCL) beat revenue and EPS estimates and raised full-year guidance on strong cloud growth, yet shares ended the day nearly flat.
Fed Rate Hike Now a Done Deal as Diesel Tops $6 a Gallon for the First Time
Markets price in a near-certain Fed rate hike next week after in-line CPI, while diesel hits a record $6 a gallon and consumer sentiment drops.
A Hotter Core CPI Pushes the Fed Toward a Rate Hike
A core CPI print above forecast lifts the odds of a Fed rate hike next week, with oil near $100 and the 10-year yield near 5%.
Fed Rate Decision in Focus as Oil Spikes and Rates Hit Multi-Year Highs
Oil prices spike and interest rates hit multi-year highs as the Fed and Chair Kevin Warsh prepare a rate decision on September 16.
Friday's First Moves: RH Beats, Kroger Cuts Outlook, Novo Nordisk Downgraded
RH (RH) beat Q2 estimates on a tariff refund, Kroger (KR) topped earnings but cut its sales outlook, and Novo Nordisk (NVO) was downgraded on patent risk.
Why the Fed Should Hold Rates as Inflation Turns Supply-Driven
A supply-driven CPI rise and a weak, narrow job market make the case for the Fed to hold rates rather than hike.
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Chart and a December Options Trade Idea
Raymond James starts RKLB at outperform with an $80 target; here is the chart setup and a December options play.
Benign CPI Sets Up a Tricky Rate Call for Kevin Warsh
A mostly in-line CPI print pushed core inflation to a 5-year low, yet crude oil and diesel spikes keep a Fed rate hike near-certain.
Gold at $4,400 - The Correction, the Fed, and the $4,750 Test
Gold's deep correction, the $4,400 support test, crude oil pushing the Fed toward a hike, and why $4,750 decides the bull case.
CPI Comes In As Expected: Energy Drives Prices, Fed Likely to Hold
The latest CPI matched forecasts as energy prices led the rise, and the Fed looks set to hold rates next week despite pressure.
Oil Volatility, Oracle's Earnings Beat, and Adobe's Guidance Slide
Crude oil swings on a reported Saudi pipeline strike as Oracle beats earnings and Adobe slips on weak guidance ahead of key CPI data.
Accio AI and the Rise of Agent-to-Agent Commerce for Small Business
How Alibaba.com's Accio AI cuts sourcing time and cost for small businesses and points toward agent-to-agent global trade.
Bitcoin Slides on Inflation Fears as Crypto Waits on the Clarity Act
Bitcoin near 77K amid risk-off trade, ETF flows, the Clarity Act vote, stablecoin rules, Hyperliquid deals, and a bullish golden cross signal.
Hot August PPI and $103 Crude Push Fed Rate Hike Odds to 70%
August wholesale inflation ran hotter than expected and oil topped $100, lifting odds of a Fed rate hike next week to about 70%.
Oracle Jumps on Cloud Beat While Adobe Slips on Weak Obligations
Oracle beats and climbs about 5% on cloud strength, Adobe slips on a remaining performance obligations miss, and markets fall on rising yields.
Why Fiat Currencies Are Failing and Gold Is Just Getting Started
The debt-driven case for gold and silver, why the carry trade threatens all markets, and why physical metal beats paper claims.
Oracle's $638B Backlog Meets Heavy AI Spending and Hyperscaler Rivals
Oracle's earnings hinge on a $638B backlog and OpenAI bet, but rising rates, thin cloud margins, and hyperscaler competition weigh on the stock.