Finance News
Markets, macro and movers — curated.
Three Trades for a Fed Day: XLI Bounce, IBIT Fade, and a Meta Pullback
Three option trades on a Fed day - a contrarian XLI call spread, a bearish IBIT put spread, and a short-term bearish Meta put spread.
Hot Data Clouds the Fed's Path as Markets Price a 25 Basis Point Rate Hike
Strong retail sales and the hottest import prices since 2022 make a dovish hike harder as markets price a 25 basis point Fed move.
Fed Rate Decision Day and Zuckerberg's Backing of the AI Race
A Fed rate decision splits the vote, mortgage demand collapses, retail sales beat, and Zuckerberg sides with Nvidia on keeping AI fast.
Rate Hike Bets Lift Gold as Bitcoin Waits on the Clarity Act Vote
A hawkish Fed could push gold higher, oil tests $105 on Russia-Ukraine strikes, and Bitcoin drifts before the Senate vote on the Clarity Act.
LLY Options Setup: Analyst Upgrade Fuels Bullish Momentum
A technical read on Eli Lilly (LLY) after an analyst upgrade, with key resistance levels and a short-term short put vertical trade idea.
Gold to $13,000 by 2030: Why Debt, Not the Fed, Will Decide Metals
A close look at why expanding US debt points gold toward $13,000 by 2030, how silver stays trapped, and where the economy strains.
Bull Cases for MSFT and NVDA Through an AI Safety Selloff
Why the AI-safety selloff is likely overdone, with bull cases for MSFT, NVDA, and CTAS, plus a Fed rate call.
Gold to $800,000 and a Dollar Crisis Worse Than a Recession
Why runaway debt could push gold far higher, lift beaten-down miners, and trigger a dollar crisis worse than 2008.
Why Oracle Fell After a Strong Earnings Report
Oracle posted strong earnings with OCI revenue up 121%, yet the stock fell - here is why the numbers still look good.
The Amazon Bull Case: AWS as the Heartbeat of the AI Trade
Why AWS growth, custom AI chips, and advertising make Amazon (AMZN) a strong long-term buy despite an FTC ad probe.
Fed Rate Hike Now a Done Deal as Diesel Tops $6 a Gallon for the First Time
Markets price in a near-certain Fed rate hike next week after in-line CPI, while diesel hits a record $6 a gallon and consumer sentiment drops.
Why the Fed Should Hold Rates as Inflation Turns Supply-Driven
A supply-driven CPI rise and a weak, narrow job market make the case for the Fed to hold rates rather than hike.
Why Fiat Currencies Are Failing and Gold Is Just Getting Started
The debt-driven case for gold and silver, why the carry trade threatens all markets, and why physical metal beats paper claims.
The Big Three Trades: CF Industries, Lululemon, and UPS
Trade setups and analysis for CF Industries (CF), Lululemon (LULU), and UPS, using option spreads amid high rates, oil, and weak demand.
SPX Key Levels, D.R. Horton's Setup, and Mixed Inflation Data
Breakdown of hotter PPI, steady jobless claims, weak home sales, a DHI technical setup, and SPX gamma levels to watch.
September Weakness as a Buying Chance, With Oil the Key Risk
September market weakness looks like a buying chance, but rising oil, higher yields, and a possible Fed hike could drive real volatility.
Silver's Physical Squeeze: Why the Price Doesn't Match the Metal
Silver's real physical supply is far tighter than its price shows, and global buyers demanding delivery could break the paper pricing system.
Why PPI and CPI Data Will Decide the Fed's Next Rate Move
This week's PPI and CPI reports could push the Fed to hike rates in September, but the case for a full rate-hiking cycle stays weak.
CASY Options Setup Ahead of Earnings: Butterfly Trade for Bullish Upside
Chart levels, moving averages, and a September call butterfly trade for Casey's General Stores (CASY) heading into earnings.
Bitcoin as the "Referee" on Fiscal Policy and Currency Debasement
How Treasury bond intervention and deficit spending are pushing Bitcoin above 81,000 as a hard-asset signal of currency debasement.