Economy News
Markets, macro and movers — curated.
SPX Holds Near Highs as Energy-Yield Correlation Nears an Unwind
The S&P 500 clings near record highs on weak breadth while a 0.9 energy-yield correlation and tech leadership set up the next move.
Higher Rates Are Here to Stay, and the Software Bull Run Is Just Starting
Why rising rates track nominal GDP, why S&P earnings stay strong, and why AI agent software names like PLTR and META could lead a new rally.
Costco Lags Walmart and Target Heading Into Earnings
Costco (COST) trails rivals and the market before earnings; a put vertical trade bets recent lows will hold.
Small Caps Feel the Rate Squeeze While Meta's Muse Draws Big Bets
Why rising yields hurt small caps hardest, which low-debt cash-flow stocks can still win, and why Meta's Muse AI deserves attention.
Why Bitcoin's Macro Setup Points to $400,000-$500,000 by 2030
Bitcoin's macro backdrop, on-chain signals, and new crypto-friendly regulation point to a 50% yearly growth base case through 2030.
Why AMD Joined the Trillion-Dollar Chip Club: AI Factories, CPUs, and the Meta Deal
AMD hit trillion-dollar status as the second source for AI factories, driven by CPU demand, agentic AI, and a Meta deal.
Gold Miners Flash a 13-Year Signal as Debt and Bank Stress Build
A 13-year miners-versus-gold breakout, weakening banks, and a government debt crisis point to sharp gains in gold, silver, and commodities.
Meta's Muse AI Launch and a More Selective AI Trade
Meta's Muse launch adds billions in market cap as investors turn selective on AI, while the 10-year yield above 5% pressures stocks.
Three Options Trades on FedEx, Home Depot, and Qualcomm
Bearish FedEx put spread, bullish Home Depot and Qualcomm call spreads, with chart levels and options reasoning behind each.
Hot September PMIs Jolt the Bond Market as the 10-Year Yield Climbs Toward Multi-Decade Highs
Strong September PMIs and rising input costs pushed the 10-year Treasury yield sharply higher, while oil rose and mortgage rates hit a 2024 high.
Meta's Muse AI: Fast Start, High Switching Barrier, Strong Profit Potential
Meta's Muse AI hit 1.1 million downloads at launch; engagement and integration, not download counts, will decide its long-term value.
The Bond Market Break: A Dire Thesis for the Dollar, Regional Banks, and America
A thesis that a bond market break could sink regional banks, force a new digital dollar worth 70 cents, and split America apart.
Fed's 25bp Hike Removes "A Dose of Accommodation," Sets Up Tense October Meeting
The Fed's surprise unanimous 25bp hike removes 2025's insurance cuts, lifts yields, and leaves October's meeting politically hard before the midterms.
SpaceX as an AI Compute Giant: The 10-Gigawatt Bet
SpaceX may earn most of its revenue from AI compute by 2027, aiming for 10 gigawatts and up to $500 billion in annual recurring revenue.
Why Crypto Could Be One of the Most Undervalued Bets for 2026-2027
Wall Street is moving onto blockchain, and crypto looks undervalued heading into Q4 2026 and 2027, with Bitcoin, Ethereum and top altcoins set to gain.
Value in Global Leaders: Samsung Foundry, Berkshire Hathaway, and Canadian Natural Resources
Why hidden foundry value in Samsung, downside protection in Berkshire (BRK/B), and dividend strength in CNQ make strong long-term holds.
The Coming Debt and Currency Crisis: Why Inflation Is Set to Get Much Worse
Why a token rate hike cannot stop rising inflation, soaring bond yields, and a housing bubble bigger than 2008's.
Meta's AI Pivot: Muse, Record CapEx, and a Strong Ad Engine
Meta's Q2 2026 ad business stays strong as AI spending soars, Muse launches, and the stock breaks above a major downtrend near $675.
Chips Rally While Bitcoin Tops $80,000 in a Market Torn Between AI Doubts and Crypto Gains
Chip and memory stocks climbed and Bitcoin passed $80,000 as markets split between AI caution and crypto optimism, with big price targets ahead.
Building a Financial Market for GPU Compute
How a funding market for GPU compute could price AI capacity, finance data centers, and reveal real demand behind Nvidia's stock.