News
Markets, macro and movers — curated.
NDX Reversals After Fed Days and the Widening Software-Semis Gap
How the NASDAQ 100 often reverses its knee-jerk Fed-day move within a week, and why software and semis keep pulling apart.
Gold Breakout, the 10-Year at 5%, and the Debt Bill Coming Due
Gold breaks out but faces a retest, the 10-year yield nears a 2007 peak, and rising defaults signal a debt-driven economy running on borrowed time.
Meta's AI Push: Muse Agent, Camera-Free Smart Glasses, and Two Options Trades on META
Meta doubles down on AI with the Muse agent and camera-free Luna glasses, plus bull and bear options trades on META stock.
Fed Delivers First Rate Hike Since 2023 in Rare Unanimous Vote
The Fed raised rates 25 basis points to 3.75-4.0% in a unanimous vote, its first hike since July 2023, with more expected.
The Case for a Fed Hold and Why an AI Bull Run Can Survive a Rate Hike
A rate-hold argument built on low core inflation, plus why a hike may not end the AI-led bull run, with named tech picks.
Three Trades for a Fed Day: XLI Bounce, IBIT Fade, and a Meta Pullback
Three option trades on a Fed day - a contrarian XLI call spread, a bearish IBIT put spread, and a short-term bearish Meta put spread.
Intel and SK Hynix Rise on Report of US Memory Chip Partnership Talks
Intel (INTC) and SK Hynix climb on a Reuters report of talks to make memory chips in the US, plus an INTC options trade idea and rate-cut view.
Hot Data Clouds the Fed's Path as Markets Price a 25 Basis Point Rate Hike
Strong retail sales and the hottest import prices since 2022 make a dovish hike harder as markets price a 25 basis point Fed move.
Fed Rate Decision and Forward Guidance Put Stocks and Bonds at a Critical Point
A Fed rate hike is nearly priced in, so forward guidance and the 10-year yield near 5% now drive stocks and bonds.
Wednesday Movers: JB Hunt Warning, Homebuilder Price Cuts, Expedia Downgrade
JB Hunt drops 11% on a rare profit warning, Truist cuts homebuilder targets, and Morgan Stanley starts Expedia at underweight.
Bull Run Set to Outlast Fed Rate Hikes as Energy and Staples Hold Firm
A Fed rate hike looks likely, but the bond market already did much of the work and the long-term bull case stays intact.
Lennar (LEN) Near 52-Week Lows: A Bearish Put Butterfly Ahead of Earnings
Lennar (LEN) sits near 52-week lows in a falling wedge; a defined-risk bearish put butterfly targets more downside into earnings.
Fed Rate Decision Day and Zuckerberg's Backing of the AI Race
A Fed rate decision splits the vote, mortgage demand collapses, retail sales beat, and Zuckerberg sides with Nvidia on keeping AI fast.
Fed Rate Decision in Focus: Hawkish Hike or Dovish Hold, Plus Oil, China, and Intel
A rate hike is nearly certain today; the market watches whether the Fed's tone reads hawkish or dovish amid oil, China, and Intel news.
Swarmer (SWMR) Buys Ratel Robotics to Turn Ground Drones Into Launch Platforms
Swarmer (SWMR) acquires Ratel Robotics to make unmanned ground vehicles the launch base for drone swarms and cut human risk in combat.
A Rate Hike for Show, Not Substance
Why a Fed rate hike this week would answer supply shocks with the wrong tool, hurt lower-income borrowers, and squeeze company margins.
Technical Analysis: SPY, QQQ, NVDA, TSLA, AMD, PLTR, ORCL, COIN
Support and resistance levels for SPY, QQQ, NVDA, TSLA, AMD, PLTR, ORCL, and COIN with targets and invalidation points.
Fed Poised to Hike, AI Leaders Over Followers, and Why SpaceX Looks Overvalued
A near-certain Fed hike, staying with AI leaders while dumping hardware followers, and a contrarian call that SpaceX is badly overpriced.
The Clarity Act Fails: What the Crypto Vote Really Means for U.S. Regulation
The U.S. Senate rejected the crypto Clarity Act 49-50, but tokenization and regulatory action are still moving forward without it.
Treasury Yields Top 5%, Crypto's Clarity Act Fails, SoftBank Backs OpenAI with $12B Loan
10-year yield tops 5% before the Fed decision, the crypto Clarity Act fails a Senate vote, and SoftBank secures $12B for OpenAI.